May 2021 CREA statistics and Quarterly forecast

Statistics released by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) show national home sales and new listings were both down between April and May 2021.

Summary:

  • National home sales declined by 7.4% on a month-over-month basis in May.
  • Actual (not seasonally adjusted) activity was up 103.6% year-over-year.
  • The number of newly listed properties fell back by 6.4% from April to May.
  • The MLS® Home Price Index (MLS® HPI) rose 1% month-over-month and was up 24.4% year-over-year.
  • The actual (not seasonally adjusted) national average sale price posted a 38.4% year-over-year gain in May.

Home sales recorded over Canadian MLS® Systems fell by 7.4% month-over month in May 2021, building on the 11% decline recorded in April. Activity nonetheless remains historically high, but in contrast to March’s all-time record it is now running closer to levels seen in the second half of 2020.

 

CREA Updates Resale Housing Market Forecast: Housing activity forecast to continue easing over the second half of 2021 and into 2022

Ottawa, ON June 15, 2021 – The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has updated its forecast for home sales activity via the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) Systems of Canadian real estate boards and associations.

 

Over the past several years, record levels of international immigration (not including 2020), low interest rates, and an increasingly middle-aged Millennial cohort have combined to fuel very strong household formation and housing demand in Canada. Recall that prior to COVID-19, the number of available listings nationally was already at a 14-year low and the national number of months of inventory on the eve of the lockdowns had fallen to below 4 months (seller’s market territory).

 

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